PDO
7-14-05, 2:54 AM
Alright, after 200 draws here's what the Oilers chances are looking like as far as where we'll be picking...
Top 5 - 21.5 %
Top 10 - 44 %
Top 15 - 61.5 %
Bottom 15 - 38.5 %
So.. we're more likely to pick in the top 10 than the bottom 15 :)
(Of note, in 200 draws, we got the #1 pick 9 times.. 4.5%.. similarily, 1/24 is equal to 4.16%.. eerily close eh? ;) )
Edit, just for fun I ran it once myself...
http://members.shaw.ca/vorpalbunnies/draftsim/official.html
1. SJS ( 2.1%)
2. Car ( 4.3%)
3. Edm ( 4.4%)
4. LAK ( 4.7%)
5. Fla ( 2.4%)
6. Det ( 2.5%)
7. Ott ( 2.6%)
8. Atl ( 5.3%)
9. NYR ( 8.3%)
10. CBJ ( 9.1%)
11. Buf ( 10.0%)
12. Phi ( 3.7%)
13. Phx ( 7.7%)
14. Tor ( 4.2%)
15. Van ( 4.3%)
16. Min ( 9.1%)
17. Pit ( 15.0%)
18. Nsh ( 11.8%)
19. Dal ( 6.7%)
20. NJD ( 7.1%)
21. Wsh ( 7.7%)
22. NYI ( 8.3%)
23. Stl ( 9.1%)
24. Cgy ( 20.0%)
25. Ana ( 25.0%)
26. Chi ( 33.3%)
27. Mtl ( 25.0%)
28. Bos ( 33.3%)
29. Col ( 50.0%)
30. Tam (100.0%)
Works for me :D
Top 5 - 21.5 %
Top 10 - 44 %
Top 15 - 61.5 %
Bottom 15 - 38.5 %
So.. we're more likely to pick in the top 10 than the bottom 15 :)
(Of note, in 200 draws, we got the #1 pick 9 times.. 4.5%.. similarily, 1/24 is equal to 4.16%.. eerily close eh? ;) )
Edit, just for fun I ran it once myself...
http://members.shaw.ca/vorpalbunnies/draftsim/official.html
1. SJS ( 2.1%)
2. Car ( 4.3%)
3. Edm ( 4.4%)
4. LAK ( 4.7%)
5. Fla ( 2.4%)
6. Det ( 2.5%)
7. Ott ( 2.6%)
8. Atl ( 5.3%)
9. NYR ( 8.3%)
10. CBJ ( 9.1%)
11. Buf ( 10.0%)
12. Phi ( 3.7%)
13. Phx ( 7.7%)
14. Tor ( 4.2%)
15. Van ( 4.3%)
16. Min ( 9.1%)
17. Pit ( 15.0%)
18. Nsh ( 11.8%)
19. Dal ( 6.7%)
20. NJD ( 7.1%)
21. Wsh ( 7.7%)
22. NYI ( 8.3%)
23. Stl ( 9.1%)
24. Cgy ( 20.0%)
25. Ana ( 25.0%)
26. Chi ( 33.3%)
27. Mtl ( 25.0%)
28. Bos ( 33.3%)
29. Col ( 50.0%)
30. Tam (100.0%)
Works for me :D